US and Israel Maneuver to train Attack on Iran

By LUIS MIRANDA | THE REAL AGENDA | OCTOBER 18, 2012

The U.S. and Israeli armies will play war games during the largest joint maneuvers for a period of three weeks with thousands of military troops from both countries training on details for an attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities.

Part of the group of U.S. forces that will intervene in Austere Challenge 12 are already in Israel, waiting for the go to start their military exercises. No army sources have confirmed when will the drills start and it is likely that the world will only know once the exercise is on the way.

The reserve with which both countries address the issue is due to the fear that the maneuvers are misinterpreted by Iran. There is also a danger that this exercise, or parts of it turn into an ‘accident’ that may spark conflict among the three countries, with the US and Israel on one side and Iran on the other.

“Austere Challenge 12 includes theoretical scenarios, not related to actual events in the world,” he Lt. General Craig Franklin, in a teleconference with reporters. Franklin is a commander of the U.S. Air Force in Europe, and he will arrive next week to Israel to head the operation.

In a message transmitted by both militaries, commanders in charge of the exercise have categorically denied information that “AC12” will simulate an attack with thousands of rockets that Iran may conduct against Israel and its allies in the region, which would be aided by Hezbollah and Hamas.

However, this is the very same scenario that Israel can expect if prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu gives the order to bomb Iran’s nuclear facilities. The action, which has not had public support from the United States, and that has been labeled as suicide by former and current members of the intelligence community, has been limited to verbal threats made by Israel and contested by Iran.

Israeli Brigadier General Nitsan Nuriel, explained that the exercises provide for a scenario of “threats on all fronts,” and that “everyone can draw their own conclusions.”

“It is a clear message that we work together and that together we can achieve more and, from there, each draws their own conclusions,” he explained while trying to respond questions about the scope of the exercise.

More than a thousand U.S. military will participate in the maneuvers conducted from Israeli territory and another 2,500 will do it from bases in Europe and warships in the Mediterranean, with a total cost of about $ 30 million (23.5 million euros) for the U.S. taxpayers.

“When completed, all U.S. troops will leave Israel,” said Lt. Gen. Franklin, which “should eliminate conjectures that warn about an armed build up to attack Iran.”

AC12 will be held in the utmost secrecy, which has many intelligence analysts wondering if this will be the base for a future attack on Iran. Neither the US not Israel have revealed dates or locations about an exercise that intends to play out a scenario where anti-aircraft systems will turn into an ‘umbrella’ to protect Israel in the event of an attack. All similarities to a real life situation will of course be ‘coincidental’.

At the epicenter of the drills are the Aegis ballistic missile system and U.S. Patriot missiles, to which Israel will incorporate its Arrow anti-missile batteries and Iron Dome radar system.

The latest air defense exercise was “Juniper Cobra” in 2010, but technological advances made it necessary to recalibrate the systems for both armies, military sources have said. Among the new systems to be used in AC12 are the new Israeli Patriot and Iron Dome, which were not fully operational two years ago.

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Volcanic Ash Threat in Europe was All a ‘Mistake’, Authorities Say

Once again computer models did the trick for scientists

By Luis R. Miranda
The Real Agenda
April 21, 2010

air travel cancellations

It was not a volcano or its ash what caused major disruptions in air travel for the past several days, but a bunch of flawed computer models scientists used to forecast how the volcanic eruption would affect air travel throughout the European continent. As reported yesterday, other reasons are being looked at to explain why flights were suspended if the famous ash cloud did not reach Europe in the way it was originally described. Today, authorities are blaming defective computer models and not the volcanic eruption.

According to Matthias Ruete, director general for mobility and transport in Europe, the computer models used to make a decision on whether or not the air space would remain open, were flawed due to the fact scientists used incomplete science and limited data. The closure of air space, which caused great disruption in passenger and cargo transport from and to the old continent, stranding thousands of people and amounting to loses of hundreds of millions of dollars per day, does not come as a surprise. Scientists who claim that man causes global warming, also based their calculations and forecasts on flawed, incomplete and dubious data. This was discovered when e-mails and documents from the University of East Anglia were let out on the web.

“It is a black box in certain areas,” Matthias Ruete, said, asserting that the assumptions used in the models were not based on scientific evidence. Apparently, authorities in Europe were not sure about certain issues and questions involving the amount of ash at specific heights and places, how hazardous it would be and the rate at which the ash would fall from the sky. “It’s one of the elements where, as far as I know, we’re not quite clear about it,” he revealed.

As reported yesterday, some airlines even conducted test flights in order to determine whether their planes would be able to withstand the effects of the now confirmed fictitious ash. Companies like KLM, Air France and Lufthansa sent planes up and all indications pointed out that the risk was minimum or none.

It appears that scientists and authorities decided to close air space, and in the process cause grave stress to an economic system that is already shaky. The current levels of outstanding debt many of the companies that revolve around commerce and air travel as well as that of European and other governments provides very little margin of error for this kind of mistakes, however those who oversee air safety did not take that into account when making up their minds about what to do with transatlantic flights.

This computer model errors along with poor judgment still do not explain why if there was any kind of threat to air travel, military planes from European countries and the U.S. maintained and still continue to execute exercises that are part of the Brilliant Ardent 10 program. The admittance of wrongdoing does not explain if and how the Coronal Mass Ejections (CME’s) may have influenced on weather patterns, plate tectonics or volcanic activity. We tried to obtain information from Dr. David H. Hathaway, a NASA scientist and expert in CME, but he has not returned our e-mail. “If you take the situation across the Atlantic, there the advice would probably be: don’t fly over the volcano. Otherwise, it is up to you to take the precautions necessary,” Mr Ruete said. Many people are now calling for the adoption of standards used in the United States, where it is up to the airlines to decide whether it is safe to fly or not. European standards establish that member states have the prerogative to make those decisions, but all decisions made for the past week have been made by computer models, it seems.  Unfortunately, computers cannot be fired.