Met Office Report Confirms Global Warming Stopped 16 years ago

By DAVID ROSE | MAILONLINE | OCTOBER 15, 2012

The world stopped getting  warmer almost 16 years ago, according to new data released last  week.

The figures, which have  triggered debate among climate scientists, reveal that from the beginning of  1997 until August 2012, there was no discernible rise in aggregate global  temperatures.

This means that the ‘plateau’ or ‘pause’ in global warming has now lasted for about the same time as  the previous period when temperatures rose, 1980 to 1996. Before that,  temperatures had been stable or declining for about 40 years.

global temperature changes
Research: The new figures mean that the  ‘pause’ in global warming has now lasted for about the same time as the previous  period when temperatures rose, 1980 to 1996. This picture shows an iceberg  melting in Eastern Greenland

The new data, compiled  from more than 3,000 measuring points on land and sea, was issued  quietly  on the internet, without any media fanfare, and, until today, it has not been  reported.

This stands in sharp  contrast  to the release of the previous  figures six months ago,  which went only to the end of 2010 – a very warm year.

Ending the data then  means it is possible to show a slight warming trend since 1997, but 2011 and the  first eight months of 2012 were much cooler, and thus this trend is erased.

Some climate scientists,  such as Professor Phil Jones, director of the Climatic Research Unit at the  University of East Anglia, last week dismissed the significance of the plateau,  saying that 15 or 16 years is too short a period from which to draw  conclusions.

Others disagreed. Professor Judith Curry, who is the head of the climate science department at America’s prestigious Georgia Tech university, told The Mail on Sunday that it was clear that the computer models used to predict future warming were ‘deeply flawed’.

Even Prof Jones admitted  that he and his colleagues did not understand the impact of ‘natural  variability’ – factors such as long-term ocean temperature cycle

s and changes in  the output of the sun. However, he said he was still convinced that the current  decade would end up significantly warmer than the previous two.

Professor Phil Jones, left, from the University of East Anglia, dismissed the  significance of the plateau. Professor Judith Curry, right, from Georgia Tech  university in America, disagreed, saying the computer models used to predict  future warming were ‘deeply flawed’.

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About Luis Miranda
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